After the Great Depression
What happened after the Great Depression of 1929?
After the stock market crash of 1929, stocks
spiraled downward for the next three years, losing a crushing
85 percent of their value.
By that point, many investors abandoned the
stock market altogether. But some stock strategists did
recognize that stocks were ready for a rebound. Stock
prices had been battered by a raft of uncertainties but that
those bargains would disappear once the uncertainties were
gone.
Stocks hit bottom the following summer and
then went up 100 percent the next year.
Today’s generation of investors have now
witnessed a decline in stocks that has been as tough as any
bear market of the past century. In this downturn, stocks
hit a major low in October 2002. By that time, this bear
market was into its third year, had erased five years of
market gains, and had dropped nearly 50 percent. The markets
have not fallen into a bottomless pit, however.
Time and again over the past years, stocks
set out on promising rallies only to be driven back
down.
Troubling news seemed to come from every
direction:
-
the economic recovery hit a wall,
-
corporate earnings stayed in a hole,
-
oil prices spiked, and
-
the headlines were filled with new accounting
shenanigans and corporate greed.
- Looming over it all, terrorism continued to be a
threat and the country readied for potential war.
As if the news were not already bad enough,
the stock market also had the calendar working against it.
Historically, September has the dubious
distinction of being the only month when, on average, the
market goes down.
In September 2002, the S&P 500 fell 11
percent, far and away the steepest plunge for that month in 25
years.
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